The Ashes, 2nd Test Adelaide

4 yrs ago, Eng declared on 550 or so, batting first, and lost.

Adelaide is know to be a batting deck, and the draw will probably be 2.2 or so.

Opening odds, eve of end of 1st test :

Aus 3.75

Eng 3.55

Draw 2.20

I am accumulating a position, against Aus.


Bollinger and Harris have been added to squad, as likely replacements for Johnson and ??

The market hasnt moved v much – Aus drifting a fraction, as the draw is favoured :

Aus 3.9  (from 3.75)

Eng 3.8  (from 3.55)

Draw 2.06 (from 2.2)

I now have a decent position against Aus, which I will post pics of later.


Eve of the test :

Some weather forecasts have rain coming in for the last 2 days, especially on day 5.

Current prices (Johnson out, choose from 12 in the morning)

Aus 3.6

Eng 4.0

Draw 2.1

I am against Aus – and have backed the draw a little.

Eve of 2nd day, Eng 290/2, after dismissing Aus for 245.

Aus 30

Eng 1.7

Draw 2.5

Some rain may come in, Mon/Tues, and the pitch is really flat. I am against Aus, in all markets.

End of rain affected day 3, and Aus cant win. I think Eng will, if they get 4 clear sessions at Aus.

Am on morning of the last day – Aus 6 wkts left, 127 behind, with some rain about, but, probably clear till Tea.

Think Eng will win, but 1.67 is really skinny.

Test over, so quickly, I didnt have time to alter position (much), so will take these figs as final.

Win £4700

(For posterity, it absolutely hammered down, after Lunch. If Aus had batted till then, they would have escaped with a draw)

About Joe Stone

Professional Betfair Trader, specialising in in-running sports.
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